Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.024702 0.026565 0.028508 0.030689 0.033071 0.035598 0.038483
2025-01-19 0.021914 0.024605 0.027560 0.031055 0.035091 0.039619 0.045108
2025-01-26 0.019822 0.022981 0.026583 0.031019 0.036363 0.042631 0.050593
2025-02-02 0.018488 0.021999 0.026132 0.031392 0.037959 0.045957 0.056539
2025-02-09 0.017109 0.020800 0.025257 0.031089 0.038593 0.048029 0.060958
2025-02-16 0.016039 0.019870 0.024603 0.030948 0.039338 0.050198 0.065563
2025-02-23 0.015081 0.018997 0.023934 0.030700 0.039867 0.052049 0.069801
2025-03-02 0.014338 0.018340 0.023482 0.030676 0.040647 0.054234 0.074595
2025-03-09 0.013526 0.017539 0.022780 0.030247 0.040813 0.055537 0.078175
2025-03-16 0.012745 0.016731 0.022015 0.029670 0.040707 0.056412 0.081140
2025-03-23 0.012144 0.016131 0.021495 0.029392 0.040989 0.057832 0.084984
2025-03-30 0.011598 0.015577 0.021004 0.029117 0.041240 0.059193 0.088797
2025-04-06 0.010968 0.014881 0.020286 0.028480 0.040924 0.059692 0.091307
2025-04-13 0.010668 0.014638 0.020198 0.028761 0.042004 0.062390 0.097571
2025-04-20 0.010294 0.014270 0.019907 0.028716 0.042567 0.064295 0.102643
2025-04-27 0.010056 0.014085 0.019874 0.029053 0.043737 0.067231 0.109681
2025-05-04 0.009667 0.013660 0.019461 0.028776 0.043901 0.068514 0.113909
2025-05-11 0.009342 0.013317 0.019155 0.028648 0.044290 0.070183 0.118935
2025-05-18 0.009013 0.012954 0.018801 0.028421 0.044496 0.071541 0.123479
2025-05-25 0.008755 0.012687 0.018583 0.028399 0.045037 0.073499 0.129284
2025-06-01 0.008424 0.012295 0.018152 0.028008 0.044923 0.074287 0.132892
2025-06-08 0.008079 0.011871 0.017654 0.027481 0.044543 0.074567 0.135513
2025-06-15 0.007816 0.011563 0.017330 0.027228 0.044624 0.075683 0.139874